AMC Theatres (Class A) AMC Earnings Analysis

Revenue Analysis

Total and Operating Revenue: Over the past year, AMC showed varied revenue figures. In Q1 2023, Total Revenue was $954.4 million, which increased to $1.35 billion in Q2, reached $1.41 billion in Q3, and finally $1.10 billion in Q4. This progression indicates volatility in quarterly revenues but shows the highest revenues in mid-year periods.

Gross Profit Margins: Gross Profit also followed a similar trend, starting at $646.8 million in Q1, rising to $873.1 million in Q2, reaching $917.3 million in Q3, before falling to $769 million in Q4.

Cost Management

Cost of Revenue: The Cost of Revenue saw an increasing trend from $307.6 million in Q1 to $474.8 million in Q2, further increasing to $488.6 million in Q3, and then marginally declining to $335.4 million in Q4.

Operating Expense: Operating expenses started at $754.8 million in Q1, rose significantly to $787.7 million in Q2, increased to $817.2 million in Q3, and experienced a dramatic rise to $807.4 million in Q4.

Total Expenses: Reflected similar trends as operating expenses, they increased steadily from $1.06 billion in Q1, to over $1.3 billion by Q3 and decreased slightly in Q4 to approximately $1.14 billion.

Profitability Analysis

EBITDA: EBITDA showed a stark variance, from a negative $38.9 million in Q1 to $208.4 million in Q2, peaking at $207 million in Q3, and then a significant drop to $6.5 million in Q4.

Operating Income: Operating Income moved from a loss of $108 million in Q1, to gains fluctuating between $84.8 million to $100.1 million in Q2 and Q3, closing the year at a loss of $38.4 million in Q4.

Pretax Income: There was a steady improvement from a significant pretax loss of $233.6 million in Q1 to smaller losses or gains, turning into a gain of $14.6 million in Q3, and a staggering $410,000 loss in Q4 due to increased unusual items.

Net Income: Net income observed large fluctuations, with substantial losses of $235.5 million in Q1, reducing to smaller gains of approximately $8.6 million in Q2, $12.3 million in Q3, followed by a deep dip to $182 million loss in Q4.

Cash Flow Indicators

Reconciled Depreciation: Depreciation expenses increased throughout the year, indicating ongoing capital expenditure from $93.6 million in Q1 to $96.8 million in Q2, $88.7 million in Q3, ending with slightly lower at $85.9 million in Q4.

Interest Expense: Interest expenses remained fairly constant around $101 to $103.8 million each quarter, denoting stable financing costs despite varying income levels.

Taxation

Tax Rate: The tax rates varied significantly, from a high of 21% in Q1 to lower rates such as 0.654% in Q4, affecting the after-tax income results.

Tax Provision: Tax provisions varied from paying $1.9 million in Q1, higher provisions in mid-year, and a mere reduction by $1.2 million in Q4 due to the impact of unusual items and varied profitability.

Tax Effect of Unusual Items: The tax effects of unusual items have been critical in shaping the net tax provision, tending to mitigate some of the losses incurred.

Shareholder Metrics

Diluted and Basic EPS: Started at a loss of -$1.5 in Q1, improved to $0.088 in Q2, maintained at $0.08 in Q3, but reverted to substantial losses (due to N/A data for EPS in Q4, assuming severe loss).

Average Shares: The number of shares outstanding showed a continual upward trend throughout the year indicating potential equity financing or dilution.

Net Income Available to Common Stockholders: Mostly mirrored the reported net income, with significant losses in Q1 and Q4, but marginal gains in Q2 and Q3, reflecting slight relief for shareholders during these quarters.

Conclusion

AMC’s fiscal year showed high variability in earnings with significant challenges in maintaining profitability across quarters. The substantial end-year loss highlights the need for stringent cost management and perhaps a reassessment of operational strategies to stabilize financial health. A closer examination of expense management, particularly cost of revenue and operational expenses, paired with strategies to boost operating income and manage debt, appears essential going forward.